Compared with the soaring paper prices in the first half of the year, the paper price, which should have been in the second half of the peak season, has fallen sharply. Compared with this year's high price, some waste paper prices fell by 2,000 yuan per ton. Waste paper, which used to be very popular, is now starting to stop and stop, and the waste paper dealers who have lost their numbness have fled. From October 25th to 26th, 32 new paper mills in the country were involved in the price-cutting storm. Among them, Yunnan Chuxiong Lufeng County Yongxing Paper Waste Paper was as low as 1,400 yuan/ton, which is the lowest in the country.
Waste paper is downgraded for several years
The reporter learned that since August 15th of the lunar calendar, the price of scrap products has started to fall sharply, and it still continues to be sluggish. Mr. Xu, who has been engaged in waste products for many years, admits that in recent years, the carton category has not been so significantly reduced, which directly led to a sharp reduction in daily purchases.
"At least 1,000 pounds per day before the price cut. Now up to 600 pounds per day since the carton price cuts sharply." Mr. Xu said that it is obvious that in addition to some paper boxes that must be sold after the repair, many citizens consulted the price. Said to wait. Because I earned less, many of my peers have already done nothing.
The fact is also true. In the past more than a month, the price of waste paper has turned sharply and turned into a pattern of falling. Huayin Xiaobian found: Taking Shandong Province as an example, on October 25-26, several paper companies including Changle Century Sunshine Paper, Dongying Huatai Paper, and Tiandiyuan Paper are still reducing waste paper purchases. Prices, the reduction rate is concentrated at 50 yuan / ton, while the current waste paper prices in the Guangdong market is still down.
In addition, data monitoring shows that on October 25, the domestic scrap yellow sheet paper market purchase price continued to continue the downward trend of the previous few days, the price cut is around 30-100 yuan / ton, compared with the end of July, the drop was as high as 24.24%.
Judging from the current market conditions, compared with the soaring paper price in the first half of the year, the price of paper should have fallen sharply in the second half of the peak season. Waste paper, which was once very popular, some paper companies have begun to stop, some paper products The price of tons fell by more than 1,000 yuan. The overall demand for waste paper this year is not as good as last year. The reason is that domestic and export demand for finished paper has weakened. In addition, paper companies have learned the lesson of insufficient stocking in the peak season last year. This year, the stock of more finished paper stocks was hoarded on the eve of the peak season, resulting in waste paper. The peak season is not prosperous.
Analysts believe that the current "Golden September, Silver 10" is coming to an end, and will enter the cycle of destocking after October. Therefore, the demand for waste paper will be flat or down, and as the demand fades, the national waste paper price is expected. The rise will be difficult.
32 new paper mills were involved in the price drop storm, and the waste paper fell to a minimum of 1,400 yuan / ton
The purchase price of waste paper from 37 paper mills nationwide from October 25th to 26th. Among them, 32 new paper mills were involved in the price drop storm, with the highest drop of 100 yuan / ton. Among them, Yunnan Chuxiong Lufeng County Yongxing Paper was lowered by 100 yuan/ton on October 25, which is the lowest price in the country.
18 in East China: 17 down 20-70 yuan / ton, 1 increase 20 yuan / ton
Shandong Dongying Huatai Paper (since October 26), the boardboard paper grade A and B are lowered by 50 yuan/ton.
Shandong Zibo Jiulu Paper (since October 26), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan/ton.
Shandong Zaozhuang Yuantong Paper (starting from October 26), the board paper is lowered by 30 yuan / ton.
Shandong Dezhou De Pike Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Shandong Binzhou Tiandiyuan Paper (from October 25), AA grade, C grade, currency down 50 yuan / ton, A grade, B grade down 60 yuan / ton.
Shandong Zaozhuang Huarun Paper (after 17:00 on October 25), book paper and book paper are lowered by 50 yuan/ton. Adjustment
Shandong Changle Century Sunshine Paper (since October 25), the page paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Shandong Linqing MCC Yinhe Paper (from October 25), the A grade is lowered by 70 yuan / ton, the B grade is lowered by 40 yuan / ton, and the C grade is lowered by 20 yuan / ton.
Shandong Zibo Renfeng Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Fujian Quanzhou Nine Dragons Paper (since October 26), yellow paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton, the price of white paper remains unchanged.
Fujian Zhangzhou Gangxing Paper Products (from October 26), Grade A and Grade B are lowered by RMB 50/ton.
Fujian Yinzhou Yingye Paper (since October 26), the national waste purchase price was lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Jiangsu Yancheng Kaisheng (formerly Shuangsheng) paper industry (from 8:00 on October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Jiangsu Xiangshui Jinghuan Longheng Paper (since October 25), the book unified goods (small flowers) lowered 50 yuan / ton.
Jiangsu Yancheng Xiangshui Fuxing Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper is adjusted.
Anhui Luzhou Zhaolong Paper (from the morning of October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 40 yuan / ton.
Jiangxi Pingxiang Kemei Paper (since October 26), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Zhejiang Taizhou Forest Paper (starting from October 26), the supermarket paper is raised by 20 yuan / ton, the other unchanged.
4 in South China: 3 down 40-50 yuan / ton, 1 increase 50-100 yuan / ton
Guangdong Qingyuan Senye (fresh) paper industry (from October 26), the price of waste paper is lowered by 40 yuan / ton.
Guangdong Shantou Ping'an Paper (starting from October 26), the price of waste paper is raised by 50-100 yuan / ton.
Dongguan Liwen Paper Industry (since October 25), the first grade paper, Datong paper, and unified goods were lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Guangdong Jiangmen Huatai Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered. Important reminder: All waste papers must be covered by all suppliers. No matter whether it is paper or loose paper, it is strictly forbidden to leak waste paper.
3 in North China: 2 down 50 yuan / ton, 1 up 70 yuan / ton
Hebei Tangshan Yutian Senxin Paper Products (formerly Changtai Paper) (starting from October 26), the price of waste paper is raised by 70 yuan/ton. The price adjustment of the waste country of the implementing country is as follows: A level 2220 yuan, B level 2170 yuan, C level 2120 yuan. The goods 1970. (No paper is collected)
Shanxi Shouyang Qiangwei Paper (starting from October 26), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan/ton.
Tianjin Nine Dragons Paper (since October 25), white waste is reduced by 50 yuan / ton, the other unchanged.
2 in Central China: 2 raised 50-100 yuan / ton
Henan Xinxiang Henry Paper (since October 26), the price of waste paper increased by 100 yuan / ton.
Henan Jiyuan Shunjie Environmental Protection Technology (since October 26), the price of waste paper is raised by 50 yuan / ton.
7 in the southwest: 7 down 30-100 yuan / ton
Chongqing Nine Dragons Paper (since October 25), yellow board paper, waste paper, 50 yuan / ton, white scrap prices unchanged.
Chongqing Liwen Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 40 yuan / ton.
Sichuan Xinjin Chenlong Paper (Since October 25), the price of waste paper was lowered by RMB 30/ton.
Sichuan Leshan Nine Dragons Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Yunnan Yiliang Hongxing Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper was uniformly lowered by 100 yuan / ton.
Yunnan Dongpu Paper (since October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
In Yongxing Paper, Lufeng County, Chuxiong, Yunnan (from October 25), the price of waste paper was lowered by RMB 100/ton.
3 in the northwest: 3 down 50-70 yuan / ton
Gansu Lanzhou Hongan Paper (from 8:00 on October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 70 yuan / ton.
Gansu Jingning County Hengda Company (from 7:30 on October 25), the price of waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
Oriental Paper of Wugong County, Xianyang City, Shaanxi Province (from October 25), the waste paper is lowered by 50 yuan / ton.
The price of waste paper has been falling and falling, what is the possibility of falling back and rising?
Waste paper has been falling, everyone is thinking about when it will stop falling. So today, just talk about the possibility that the waste paper will rise.
Miscalculated domestic waste paper
According to statistics, the consumption of pulp in 2016 was 97.97 million tons, including 28.77 million tons of wood pulp, 63.29 million tons of waste paper pulp, 5.91 million tons of non-wood pulp, and the proportion of waste paper pulp was as high as 64.60%. It stands to reason that the waste is less, the national waste is even more important, and the price increase is not excessive.
Just did not think of this rise, so that the price of the country's waste far exceeds its value, the price of waste paper was once too high to be scared. Excessively high prices have also led many people into the waste paper recycling industry. The high price of waste paper directly causes the price of finished paper to rise, thus ignoring the fact that its substitutes are waiting to invade the finished paper market.
When the demand for terminals decreased, many people suddenly found that waste paper had to go up and began to fall. The waste paper business was not so good. So the industry experienced a reshuffle of a group of people, and the remaining became stronger.
Why are you plunging?
Then, after falling for so long, when will it stop falling and rise? Why is the price of waste paper falling all the way? The most important thing is that the price is too high, the demand is reduced, and the finished paper is not easy to sell. Why not sell it? Because it is expensive, because the market is not very stable.
It is understood that the downstream terminal buys a carton, which was received in about 2 days, and may take 3-5 days. Waste papers rose wildly and suddenly fell, causing various things or influences, making the sense of trust in the upstream and downstream become somewhat fragile. Destruction is always easier than construction. Although many people realize the importance of cooperation, it will take some time to re-establish trust.
Where is the possibility of price increases?
Although the price of waste paper has fallen, I don’t know how many days, but let Xiaobian feel that there is a possibility of a rise is still a slippery decline. To make a more ideal hypothesis: the industry is already controlling costs (by research and development of new technologies, establishing norms, industrial layout, etc.), and efforts are being made to return the finished paper prices to a level that is generally acceptable to the market.
This may make the price of finished paper drop step by step. Although it is painful, when the finished paper is compared with the substitute, its price disadvantage is decreasing, and it is believed that the end consumption can still restore its demand. At that time, the price of waste paper may be expected to return to rationality, and at the same time, due to the reduction of external waste, the price will be a little higher than before the release of the foreign ban. However, before the new balance of paper raw material prices, the fluctuation of waste paper prices is still unavoidable.
Responsible editor: Ge
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