In recent years, due to the continuous construction of new paper machines in China, coupled with the increase in environmental protection, the demand for recycled paper has soared. The upsurge in the generation of waste paper was approximately from the third quarter of 2000 to the second quarter of 2001. During the period, most of the waste papers used in China were imported from countries in the United States and Europe. Until the second quarter of 2001, Japanese waste papers entered the Chinese market one after another. However, due to geographical advantages and low prices, daily waste was at home. The market share continues to expand.
Since last year, the import growth rate of recycled waste paper in China has stabilized, and although it has not risen as much as in the previous period, the momentum remains strong. In the source countries of imported waste paper, the United States is still the leader, because of its high quality, stable supply, and perfect sales network, which is welcomed by waste paper users in all countries, and China is no exception. However, the price is high, and when the use of paper mills in its own country increases, the supply of goods will be in short supply. Therefore, domestic users start to purchase goods from other sources, resulting in a significant change in the supply sources of imported waste paper for recycling in the recent period. To meet the growing demand. According to statistics from the customs statistics, in the past year, the majority of domestic imports of waste paper have come from Japan, reaching 60%. In fact, in the second quarter of 2002, China’s recycling waste paper market, Japan’s share of waste paper has exceeded the European countries.
In the past two years, Japan’s waste paper export volume has grown rapidly, reaching 373,000 tons in 2000. In 2001, it quickly jumped to 1.5 million tons. In the second quarter of this year, Japan shipped a total of 655,000 tons of recovered waste paper to various markets. It will reach 2.1 million tons annually. The suppliers of the major waste paper suppliers in the United States, the United States, are very dissatisfied. They think that the rapid increase in Japanese waste paper exports has caused troubles in the balance between global supply and demand of waste paper, although US waste paper is still the Chinese domestic waste paper. The main source of demand, which accounted for 58% of the total import volume in the first half of 2002, is that if the Japanese export volume of waste paper does not increase so rapidly in recent quarters, it can be said that the price of recycled waste paper will rise this year. It's faster and higher, and it doesn't start to fall back just as it does now.
Is the continuous increase in Japan's waste paper exports meeting the rapid increase in demand for recycled waste paper in China? Let us analyze the recovery and shipment of waste paper in Japan. The recovery rate of waste paper in Japan has risen rapidly, from 52.1% in 1997 to 60.9% in 2001. It is estimated that this year will approach 64%. How high is the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan in the future? Because the calculation methods are different and they have different understandings of the comparison between countries, it is difficult to compare with other countries, but according to the goals set by Japan itself and the recent growth rate, the waste paper recovery rate is The current level has to grow further and they themselves find it very difficult. Predicting the production and demand for paper and board in Japan in the next two years, according to the current recovery rate of waste paper, it is estimated that the export volume of recycled waste paper will increase by 200,000 tons from 2002 to 2004. If the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan increases in the next two years, the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan is expected to reach 65% in 2004, based on a one-percent increase in the recovery rate of waste paper and an increase in its export volume by 30,000-30,000 tons. The export volume will reach 2.65 million tons, and 66% will export 3 million tons. Even if it reaches 67%, the export volume will only reach 3.3 million tons. According to this growth rate, it is certainly difficult to meet China's newly increased demand.
According to the development situation of the domestic paper industry, the demand for waste paper in China will continue to grow in the future. However, the domestic waste paper recycling situation is still very unsatisfactory. Therefore, there is still a long time to rely on imported waste paper, but the international waste Changes in demand and price fluctuations in the paper market have brought increasing pressure on domestic paper mills. Faced with this reality, China must have new countermeasures. One is to develop new sources globally. The other is to rely on the government's efforts to increase the domestic waste paper recovery rate. According to analysis from overseas sources, only China itself can eventually become the source of the required recycled paper. For domestic waste paper, the quality of waste paper has always been a cause for concern. In the past, domestic paper contained too much straw pulp. However, in recent years, there have been new and large-scale paper machines in operation in China. These paper machines are many With high proportion of imported pulp as raw material, the quality of paper and paperboard produced is excellent, so now there should be a large amount of good-quality waste cardboard boxes and waste papers that can be recycled in China. Nowadays, there are many waste cardboard boxes imported from China. It is a domestically-manufactured cardboard packaging product that is exported to foreign countries after export, and then returned to the domestic cardboard factories to regenerate the cardboard. Therefore, it is considered that the quality of domestic waste paper is poor and it does not attach importance to its collection. It should be said that it is out of date. The improvement of the waste paper collection rate in the homeland should be mentioned on the important agenda.
Since last year, the import growth rate of recycled waste paper in China has stabilized, and although it has not risen as much as in the previous period, the momentum remains strong. In the source countries of imported waste paper, the United States is still the leader, because of its high quality, stable supply, and perfect sales network, which is welcomed by waste paper users in all countries, and China is no exception. However, the price is high, and when the use of paper mills in its own country increases, the supply of goods will be in short supply. Therefore, domestic users start to purchase goods from other sources, resulting in a significant change in the supply sources of imported waste paper for recycling in the recent period. To meet the growing demand. According to statistics from the customs statistics, in the past year, the majority of domestic imports of waste paper have come from Japan, reaching 60%. In fact, in the second quarter of 2002, China’s recycling waste paper market, Japan’s share of waste paper has exceeded the European countries.
In the past two years, Japan’s waste paper export volume has grown rapidly, reaching 373,000 tons in 2000. In 2001, it quickly jumped to 1.5 million tons. In the second quarter of this year, Japan shipped a total of 655,000 tons of recovered waste paper to various markets. It will reach 2.1 million tons annually. The suppliers of the major waste paper suppliers in the United States, the United States, are very dissatisfied. They think that the rapid increase in Japanese waste paper exports has caused troubles in the balance between global supply and demand of waste paper, although US waste paper is still the Chinese domestic waste paper. The main source of demand, which accounted for 58% of the total import volume in the first half of 2002, is that if the Japanese export volume of waste paper does not increase so rapidly in recent quarters, it can be said that the price of recycled waste paper will rise this year. It's faster and higher, and it doesn't start to fall back just as it does now.
Is the continuous increase in Japan's waste paper exports meeting the rapid increase in demand for recycled waste paper in China? Let us analyze the recovery and shipment of waste paper in Japan. The recovery rate of waste paper in Japan has risen rapidly, from 52.1% in 1997 to 60.9% in 2001. It is estimated that this year will approach 64%. How high is the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan in the future? Because the calculation methods are different and they have different understandings of the comparison between countries, it is difficult to compare with other countries, but according to the goals set by Japan itself and the recent growth rate, the waste paper recovery rate is The current level has to grow further and they themselves find it very difficult. Predicting the production and demand for paper and board in Japan in the next two years, according to the current recovery rate of waste paper, it is estimated that the export volume of recycled waste paper will increase by 200,000 tons from 2002 to 2004. If the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan increases in the next two years, the recovery rate of waste paper in Japan is expected to reach 65% in 2004, based on a one-percent increase in the recovery rate of waste paper and an increase in its export volume by 30,000-30,000 tons. The export volume will reach 2.65 million tons, and 66% will export 3 million tons. Even if it reaches 67%, the export volume will only reach 3.3 million tons. According to this growth rate, it is certainly difficult to meet China's newly increased demand.
According to the development situation of the domestic paper industry, the demand for waste paper in China will continue to grow in the future. However, the domestic waste paper recycling situation is still very unsatisfactory. Therefore, there is still a long time to rely on imported waste paper, but the international waste Changes in demand and price fluctuations in the paper market have brought increasing pressure on domestic paper mills. Faced with this reality, China must have new countermeasures. One is to develop new sources globally. The other is to rely on the government's efforts to increase the domestic waste paper recovery rate. According to analysis from overseas sources, only China itself can eventually become the source of the required recycled paper. For domestic waste paper, the quality of waste paper has always been a cause for concern. In the past, domestic paper contained too much straw pulp. However, in recent years, there have been new and large-scale paper machines in operation in China. These paper machines are many With high proportion of imported pulp as raw material, the quality of paper and paperboard produced is excellent, so now there should be a large amount of good-quality waste cardboard boxes and waste papers that can be recycled in China. Nowadays, there are many waste cardboard boxes imported from China. It is a domestically-manufactured cardboard packaging product that is exported to foreign countries after export, and then returned to the domestic cardboard factories to regenerate the cardboard. Therefore, it is considered that the quality of domestic waste paper is poor and it does not attach importance to its collection. It should be said that it is out of date. The improvement of the waste paper collection rate in the homeland should be mentioned on the important agenda.
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