What influence will China's papermaking industry bring to the WTO? (1)

With the signing of China-US bilateral agreement on China’s accession to the WTO, China’s formal accession to the WTO is not far off. This means that China's various industries will face new opportunities and challenges, and China's paper industry will also be affected. In recent times, many newspapers and magazines have published articles, and some have fully described the WTO's tasks and institutions; Explain the necessity of our country’s accession to the WTO for the development of China’s economic construction; some require everyone to learn and study the use of relevant WTO rules; and others to remind everyone to be ready for the WTO; some of these publications are also published. The article on the impact of China's accession to the WTO on China's papermaking industry is objective and fair, which is very beneficial to us. The accession to the WTO is currently a major event in the country. We should indeed study swiftly, correctly understand it, and call upon the relevant state agencies and paper companies in China to calmly analyze and treat them seriously, and propose corresponding policies and effective measures.
The necessary understanding of the WTO The WTO is an international economic organization that coordinates the economic and trade relations among member states. It is now an "economic UN." It is through the implementation of market liberalization, non-disdain and fair trade and other principles to achieve the goal of promoting world trade liberalization. There is authority and effectiveness in coordinating disputes among members. Therefore, it has a great impact on the world economy.
The WTO has formulated a series of articles and regulations that stipulate the WTO rules. According to the WTO principles and regulations, if they participate in the WTO, they can enjoy the corresponding rights, but they must also bear the corresponding obligations.
Since China’s accession to the WTO, China’s national economy will be able to achieve new growth, enjoy the most favored nation status granted by its member states, expand exports, participate in world competition under equal conditions, and improve China’s investment environment, which will help attract foreign investment. Therefore, today's increasingly globalized economy can greatly speed up the process of building China's socialist market economy. Of course, joining the WTO must also bear the corresponding obligations. If you reduce import tariffs, cancel non-tariff barriers, etc., this will also bring some pressure and challenges. However, on the whole, macroscopically, this is related to the long-term strategic issue of our country’s economic construction in the future. Therefore, joining the WTO is an inevitable choice for China’s integration into the world economy.
The status quo and development prospects of China's paper industry The current situation of China's paper industry is, in general, "a grim situation, but also happy and worrying."
In 1998, the country’s total output of paper and paperboard was 27.8 million tons, ranking the third in the world for the sixth consecutive year (after the United States and Japan). Since the reform and opening up, the average annual growth rate was 10.1%, and the product quality and grade have been significantly improved. More than 600 kinds, basically can meet various needs. With the rapid development of industries such as press and publication, printing of books and periodicals, and packaging of goods, there is a strong demand for paper consumption. In 1998, the total paper and paperboard consumption in China reached 33.5 million tons, ranking the second in the world (after the United States, it has surpassed Japan). However, the current domestic production volume cannot meet the market demand. Therefore, the number of imported paper and board increases year by year. In 1998, it was 5.772 million tons, accounting for 18% of the country's total consumption. The imported products were mainly high-grade products made of wood pulp. The export volume of paper in China is very small. In 1998, it was 295,700 tons, which only accounted for 1.05% of the total national production. The export products were mainly special paper products that were not suitable for large-scale production. In the current state of the domestic commodity market is generally in surplus, China's paper industry is a rare industry in which consumption growth is greater than production. Therefore, China's paper industry will be the “sunrise industry” in the 21st century.
The rapid growth of China's paper industry has long been achieved under extensive economic growth mode. Before the 1990s, the domestic paper market was always plagued by shortages. In order to eliminate shortages and increase supply, its development goals were to pursue quantity. Expanding and expanding production capacity are the key points. This has its objective necessity and is necessary at the time. However, after the mid-1990s, with the appearance of the domestic buyer’s market, fierce competition for goods, and the international environment of the domestic market, the structural problems and disadvantages of the paper industry in our country were clearly exposed, and the contradiction between imbalances in production and demand became increasingly prominent. New changes in product structure and market demand are becoming less and less adaptable. Concentrate on the performance of raw materials in the structure of small proportion of wood pulp, small-scale enterprises, high-end paper production capacity, and large environmental pollution. For a long time, due to the unreasonable structure of raw materials, most companies have lagged behind in equipment level, resulting in lack of competitiveness of many enterprises' products, low quality of the products produced, and backlog of unsold sales. In addition, the level of factory management has been declining, and the consumption is high and costs are high. The price is also at a disadvantage.
Since the mid-1990s, the relationship between supply and demand in the domestic paper industry has undergone great changes. The market has turned from a serious shortage to a relative surplus, and new changes have taken place in the pace and direction of production growth. The growth of production has gradually slowed from high-speed growth; the product structure has caused surplus and shortages to coexist; under the influence of the international paper market environment, the supply of some domestic products has exceeded demand, which has exacerbated market competition, restrained the price of paper, and even reduced the sales price; The production capacity is idled or eliminated. Under the constraints of demand, market competition has accelerated the division and restructuring of enterprises; many companies are seeking to survive in fierce competition and seek development; the entire papermaking industry in China can be said to be at a low point.
The prospects for the development of China's paper industry have a long way to go.
According to the forecast of the relevant state agencies, as the country’s national economy develops, the gap between the production and consumption of paper and paperboard is increasing. It is estimated that the total consumption of paper and paperboard will reach 36-38 million by the year 2000. Tons, it may reach 60-70 million tons by 2010. However, limited to the basic conditions for the development of China's paper industry, especially because of the lack of construction funds and constraints on raw material resources, the initial preliminary recommendations for the national paper and paperboard output are: 30 million tons in 2000, 56 million tons in 2010, 2015 Only 70 million tons. Unbalance between supply and demand will be very prominent.
In order to solve the growing demand for paper in the domestic market, especially the demand for high-grade paper products, we must accelerate the pace of development of China's paper industry, and strive to improve the production capacity of high-quality products. However, the paper industry is a capital, technology-intensive industry, whether it is new production capacity, or to carry out the necessary technological transformation of enterprises, must have sufficient financial guarantees. In recent years, a technological reconstruction project with a certain scale of new construction and expansion has no 1 billion, 2 billion or even tens of billions of dollars. According to the calculation of China's paper industry development plan, the required investment in the next 15 years will be 6000-700 billion yuan, and an average annual investment of 400-500 billion yuan. How to solve the funds will be the primary issue for the implementation of the relationship development plan.
The impact of China's accession to the WTO on China's papermaking industry will have an impact on China's paper industry. But what is the impact? It is a big subject that we should seriously and calmly analyze and study.
China's paper industry is a generally competitive industry, with reform and opening up. Especially since the mid-1990s, it should be said that it has basically been in line with the international market and has entered the international market earlier. In recent years, the country’s average import tariff on pulp and paper has been continuously lowered. At the same time, the state is also encouraging and supportive in attracting foreign investment. There is not much restriction. From the actual work in recent years, the development of papermaking industry in China There has been a strong impact. After joining the WTO, the impact on China's paper industry will certainly increase. (to be continued)

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